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[personal profile] joebelknapwall
 One of the things that makes me shake my head about the data-free histrionics about the Fukushima reactors isn't the constant invocation of Chernobyl, which is not remotely applicable to this situation, because we don't build unshielded reactors in sheds out here in the rest of the world. It's the repetition of phrase "The Three Mile Island Disaster" or the "The Three Mile Island Catastrophe," or whatever other Hollywood film title the media source wants to tag on to rile people up about the nuclear cause célèbre of the swingin' seventies.

The trouble with that oft-mentioned "catastrophe" is that no one died. Seriously—no one. Not then, not since, not in any study performed by anyone using actual science. There's no increase in cancers or in any other health indicator in the region among the people there, or in the animals, the plant life, or anything, but the crowd that won't be swayed from their religious faith that all nuclear is all bad all the time just don't care, and stay stuck in this weird middle-of-the-cold-war pattern of fixations even though the rest of the world has moved on. Even worse, even suggesting that science may not support their view just tells them that you've been duped, or that you've bought into bad ideas. Sometimes, they won't even bother to debate with you, because you're just not worth the effort.

In this, I feel a little repentant about all the years I was too damned snobbish and sure of myself to have discussions with people who held ideas and beliefs with which I didn't agree. Aside from faith, which is essentially inarguable because it's not grounded in the empirical, everything should be up for discussion, assuming people have the time and the energy to do so. You live and you learn, though.

I remember going to bed in the early eighties with my stomach in knots because I was afraid that the Calvert Cliffs nuclear plant was going to melt down or blow up or leak, and I'd daydream about ways to escape, but then I was a good little soldier of the bad side of the environmental movement, the people who would say things like "it'd be better if the human race died out," or "nothing people do is any good," and who don't think that we're as amazing and natural as all the rest of the biosphere. I'd lay in bed, up late and jittery, wondering if we'd be able to get away if the sirens started blaring, except, well, they never did.

"Well, we just dodged a bullet," the anti-nukes all say. "It's only a matter of luck that we didn't all get radiated."

They say that, but it wasn't luck that saved us from "catastrophe" at Three Mile Island—it was skilled people, doing their jobs, dealing with a stuck valve and some procedural issues, and the world did not end. The anti-nukes are scoffing at the successes at Fukushima, too, saying that it's only luck that they haven't blown, and doubting every bit of news, science, or information.

Meanwhile, they've all succeeded beyond their wildest dreams. When the artists all descended on Three Mile Island, saving the world with live triple albums and an organization of musicians for "safe energy" like coal, natural gas, and habitat-destroying hydroelectricity, they beat the message into us. We've got The Simpsons and their oh-so-comical nuclear plant spreading the word that nukes are evil, run by evil people, and in terrible conditions excused only by bribery of the officials involved.  Heck, when we put something in the microwave, we "nuke" it. Of all the things the hippies were able to pull off, it seems like the only lasting one has been maintaining this nearly-global panic about nuclear energy.
 
But, again, I bought it. I feared it, feared nuclear war and nuclear power and I read stories about the Goiânia accident with a juvenile mix of titillation and horror that left me tossing and turning at night. I bought the faith of it, the suspicion of science and scientists and "the industry," as they call it, and that was fine with me for a long, long time.

That is, until Greenpeace and everyone in "the movement" started to flip out about the Cassini-Huygens mission that was getting ready to launch in 1997. People I'd previously accepted as hip advocates for "my" side, like Jello Biafra, started railing and shrieking about the "inexcusable" threat to the human race of the plutonium-based RTG that powered the probe, claiming that it would poison the whole world. Insane, screeching websites, resplendent in their 1997 HTML, warned that the end was nigh. It's apparently still nigh, but nigh is such a vague thing, you know?

This time around, though, I had an inside track. I was an alumnus of the Goddard Spaceflight Center's Explorer Post 1275 (of the late, lamented Explorer Scout program), and Goddard is where they build these things. If you're on the outside, you see spooky skunkworks filled with scary scientists. Inside, it's just folks—physicists, engineers, scientists, planners, and other smart people, and I knew about how an RTG worked, and what would happen if the rocket blew up, or the probe only made a low orbit and reentered the atmosphere. The anti-nukes all claimed to know better, but they'd quote lies, made-up worst case scenarios, and outright fruit loop tinfoil hat theories, and I started getting into arguments where I'd be branded a "right-winger."
 
Me—a right-winger. Really? Because I know science?
 
Of course, Cassini-Huygens didn't destroy the world. The anti-nukes I knew didn't ever take my suggestion to protest nuclear weapons, which are actually a danger to the human race, other than to add more snide bumper stickers to their cars.
 
Huygens discovered wonderful things. Nuclear power chokes off the clouds of coal smoke and the pollutant-filled boreholes of hydraulic fracturing gas mining, and saves the birds from windpower Cuisinarts, and powers electric cars so they actually have no emissions, but no, it's all bad. We need safe energy, right, like the "clean coal" that's leveling my adopted second state, or the trickle of solar electric that's unaffordable for all but the wealthiest celebrities. It's all bad because of nuclear waste, even though the waste from all the other "safe" energy sources either just rain down on us, pile up in mountain valleys, or drain into the sea.

We could be clear and see nuclear power as a step as we transition from the Victorian coal smoke world to one powered by renewables and sustained with efficiency and good engineering, but we're just going to dig in, take our factless hysteria to heart, and preserve that void, that yawning gap between the coal mine and solar panels on every roof, more or less guaranteeing that we'll never make that step. Fortunately, we're not the only country in the world, so someone else will lead the way.

In the meantime, I'll be arguing. People will call me "right-winger" in spite of all evidence to the contrary, and I'll just be what I've learned to be after falsely trusting one "wing" to keep me safe against the other "wing." The thing is, you can only fly when you employ both, but arguing that gets me nothing but grief. It's a knee-jerk world out there, and I've jerked my share, so I know.

At night, though, with 20% of the light I use to read coming from the Calvert Cliffs nuclear power plant, I can tuck in my bookmark, set my book aside, curl up in the blankets with the dogs at my feet, and sleep an untroubled sleep.

Date: 2011-03-20 03:17 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] marstokyo.livejournal.com
I say we power the world with spent water bottles. Now THAT would be something.

Date: 2011-03-20 05:16 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] quuf.livejournal.com
I'm so glad you wrote this, Joe. It deserves a large readership.

Panic is the thing I fear most, whether embodied in a mass riot or some brittle soccer mom yammering on about MY children, the facts be damned.

new clear bonds

Date: 2011-03-20 11:21 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] quothautodidact.livejournal.com
Here, Here! You certainly know how to trim away the myths of the left.
Someone should give you a real soapbox.

Re: new clear bonds

Date: 2011-03-20 11:32 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fabulist.livejournal.com
I need something to do after clearing up the multifold myths of the right, you libertarian crank, you. You better have gotten in some riding time today, or I'm going to mock you.

Re: new clear bonds

Date: 2011-03-21 03:28 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] quothautodidact.livejournal.com
The only riding I got in was to a local pub for a couple of brews after crawling around in the dirt all day in the service of the kitchen garden; the self reliant Jeffersonian agrarian ideal is alive and well in at least one tiny plot within the rotting urban Baltimore. But then, the left always mocks real labor which is neither left nor right!

Re: new clear bonds

Date: 2011-03-21 10:32 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fabulist.livejournal.com
I hate to tell you this, but both the original 1960s back-to-the-land movement and this burgeoning current one are phenomena of left-of-center thinking. The right are perfectly happy to eat watery pink Mexican tomatoes and celebrate the wonders of NAFTA.

Also, your kitchen garden is more in line with New Deal wartime kitchen gardens or British greenbelt socialist gardens. A proper Jeffersonian garden would be 90% potatoes and turnips, because pragmatic people do not eat salads.

TMI

Date: 2011-03-21 05:19 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] tbrough.livejournal.com
Funny you should mention Three Mile Island. I was a 19 year old college student when TMI went afoul. But I was also a 12 year old High School Kid when we took the really cool field trip to the Three Mile Island "Park" and tourist center. Somewhere in my boxes of stuff are pictures of little elementary school me with the cooling towers in the background.

On the otherhand, I am still not too keen on nuclear power, with TMI being one. That reactor that broke in 1979? Unit Two is permanently unusable and is under legal observation until 2034. All the radioactive material is long gone (mostly shipped off-site) and unit one still operates, providing power to central PA.

Re: TMI

Date: 2011-03-21 10:35 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] fabulist.livejournal.com
I think, for me, the thing that changed my nucleophobia was finding out the real stats about the unbelievable destructiveness of coal and gas-produced power. Nuclear's had very few accidents, with very few fatalities (either immediate or long term), whereas coal kills thousands every year, and that's without counting the mine disasters. Gas fracturing operations pump millions of gallons of toxic chemicals into aquifers, and that's when the system's working the way it should. Nuclear seems scary, but only when you leave out the immensity of the damage that the "safe" alternatives cause by design.

Date: 2011-03-22 02:46 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] http://users.livejournal.com/_candide_/
The problem, Joe, is that people no longer remember coal dust from shovelling it into their own stoves. But they do "know" that radiation is an Eeeeeeevil Demon that will Stalk them and Hunt them down unless they Run Far, Far Away.

*ahem*

As a physicist by education, I often find myself trying to explain how nature works to people. When explaining, "radiation," I've now taken to saying the word in a very special way: I practically scream it, with as much panic and terror as I can put into my voice, without actually raising my voice. I then insist that whoever I'm talking to say, "radiation," with the equivalent amount of panic and terror that they can muster.

And I do that … and make them do that … every time we say that word during the discussion.


The point being: blind panic will not help you when facing anything radioactive. Knowing what you're dealing with will.


Ferinstance, consider Plutonium, which the leftwingnuts will insist is, "The Most Poisonous Substance Known To Man." Well, first, "poisonous," usually doesn't include radioactivity. It usually implies some chemical reaction that interferes with biological processes, like breathing. In that respect, Plutonium is as poisonous as other elements in the same column on the periodic table, like Osmium. Or Iron. Yep — Plutonium and Iron have the same chemical properties.


Given the choice between one room, with a sample of Plutonium the size of a grain of sand, sitting in a plastic disk (which is what radioactive samples for use in physics classes look like), or another room with a canister of Fluorine that might have a leak — I'll take the Plutonium. My clothing will stop most of the alpha particles that it's giving off.

Date: 2011-04-06 11:28 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] artnouveauho.livejournal.com
Hello there. I'm here from MetaFilter (where I'm Pallas Athena.) I saw your comment about being a "livejournalista", followed the link from your profile and here I am. I've friended your journal; hope that's all right?

Oh, and my actual name is Liza.

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